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monetary policy

  • Household Finance
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A Rate Cut from the Fed: What Will the Terminal Rate Be?

Robert DietzNovember 7, 2024November 8, 2024

The Fed cut the short-term federal funds rate by an additional 25 basis points at the conclusion of its November meeting, reducing the top target rate to 4.75%. However, while the Fed noted it is making progress to its 2% inflation target, it did not…

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  • Home Sales and Prices

Existing Home Sales Slide Despite Lower Mortgage Rates

Fan-Yu KuoSeptember 19, 2024September 19, 2024

Existing home sales fell to a 10-month low in August despite easing mortgage rates and improved inventory, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Home sales remained sluggish as the lock-in effect kept home prices elevated. Meanwhile, the share of first-time buyer in August…

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  • Macroeconomics

Inflation Continued to Slow, Setting Stage for Rate Cuts

Fan-Yu KuoSeptember 11, 2024September 11, 2024

Inflation eased further in August, reaching a new 3-year low despite persistent elevated housing costs. This inflation report is seen as the final key piece of data before the Fed’s meeting next week. The headline reading provides another dovish signal for future monetary policy, after…

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  • Macroeconomics

Inflation Falls Below 3% Amid Persistent Housing Costs

Fan-Yu KuoAugust 14, 2024August 14, 2024

Inflation dropped below a 3% annualized growth rate for the first time since March 2021 even though housing costs continue to climb. Nonetheless, the headline reading is another dovish signal for future monetary policy, following signs of weakness in the most recent job report.    Despite…

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  • Macroeconomics

Federal Reserve Rate Cuts in View

Robert DietzAugust 1, 2024August 1, 2024

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee once again held constant the federal funds rate at a top target of 5.5% at the conclusion of its July meeting. In its statement, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) noted: “Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued…

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  • Macroeconomics

Inflation Moderates Despite Persistent Housing Cost Growth

Fan-Yu KuoJune 12, 2024June 12, 2024

Both overall and core inflation continued to ease in May as decline in gasoline price offset the increase the shelter cost. This is a dovish signal for future monetary policy. Despite a slowdown in the year-over-year increase, shelter costs continue to put upward pressure on…

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  • Home Sales and Prices

Housing Costs Continue to Drive Price Gains

Jing FuMay 15, 2024May 15, 2024

Both overall and core inflation eased slightly in April amid higher costs for gasoline and shelter. On a year-over-year (YOY) basis, the shelter index rose by 5.5% in April, following a 5.7% increase in March. Despite a slowdown in the YOY increase, shelter costs continue…

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