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June 2024

  • Macroeconomics

2024 First Quarter State-Level GDP Data

Danushka Nanayakkara-SkillingtonJune 28, 2024June 28, 2024

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 39 states and the District of Columbia in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the last quarter of 2023 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Ten states reported an economic contraction during this time,…

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  • Household Finance

Mortgage Rates Declined in June but Remain High

Catherine KohJune 28, 2024June 28, 2024

According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased by 14 basis points (bps) from 7.06% in the previous month to 6.92% in June 2024. This decline comes after increases from 6.64% in January to a peak above 7.2% in May. Nonetheless, the current…

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  • Policy Research

CBO Boosts Deficit Estimate By 27%

Jesse WadeJune 28, 2024June 28, 2024

The budget deficit in 2024 is expected to total $1.9 trillion, according to the Congressional Budget Office’s most recent June estimates. This marks a $408 billion increase from the $1.5 trillion estimate published in February. This increase is the result of increased spending of $363…

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  • Construction Statistics
  • Home Sales and Prices
  • Single-Family

Considering Housing Inventory: Why Both New and Existing Supply Matters

Robert DietzJune 27, 2024June 28, 2024

Total (new and existing) home inventory is an important measure for gauging and forecasting home prices and home construction impacts. The intuition is clear: more inventory yields weaker or declining home price growth and home building activity. Lean inventory levels lead to price growth and…

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  • Construction Statistics
  • Single-Family

2023 New Single-Family Starts by Census Division

Jing FuJune 27, 2024June 26, 2024

New single-family starts have trended higher since 2012, reaching a post-pandemic peak of 1,133,145 units in 2021. During 2022 and 2023, elevated housing prices and persistently high mortgage rates have dampened housing market activity. According to NAHB analysis of the 2023 Survey of Construction (SOC),…

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  • Macroeconomics

Consumer Confidence Edged Lower Amid Future Economic Concerns

Fan-Yu KuoJune 26, 2024June 27, 2024

Consumer confidence weakened in June but remained within the range of the past two years, with optimism about current labor market conditions offsetting concerns about future economic outlook. However, higher interest rates and lingering inflation continue to discourage consumption.  The Consumer Confidence Index, reported by…

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  • Home Sales and Prices
  • Single-Family

Higher Rates Sideline Home Buyers

Robert DietzJune 26, 2024July 8, 2024

Mortgage rates that averaged 7.06% in May per Freddie Mac, the highest monthly average since last November, put a damper on new home sales last month. Sales of newly built, single-family homes in May fell 11.3% to a 619,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate from a…

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