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January 2024

  • Macroeconomics

Fed Decision: Shifting Expectations toward Future Rate Cuts

Robert DietzJanuary 31, 2024June 20, 2024

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee held the federal funds rate constant at a top target of 5.5% at the conclusion of its January meeting. The Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities as part of quantitative tightening…

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  • Housing Affordability

Homeownership Rate Dips to 65.7% Amid Housing Affordability Woes

Na ZhaoJanuary 30, 2024June 28, 2024

The Census Bureau’s Housing Vacancy Survey (CPS/HVS) reported the U.S. homeownership rate declined to 65.7% in the last quarter of 2023, amid persistently tight housing supply and elevated mortgage interest rates. This is 0.3 percentage points lower from the third quarter reading (66%). Compared to…

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  • Employment/Labor

Little Change for Number of Open Construction Jobs

Robert DietzJanuary 30, 2024

Due to tightened monetary policy, the count of total job openings for the entire economy has trended lower in recent months. This is consistent with a cooling economy that is a positive sign for future inflation readings. However, the December data showed an uptick due…

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  • Home Sales and Prices

All-Cash Share of New Home Sales Remains Elevated in 2023

David LoganJanuary 26, 2024June 20, 2024

NAHB analysis of the most recent Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing report reveals that the all-cash purchases accounted for 8.4% of new home sales in 2023—a 1.3 percentage point decline over the year but still the second-highest share since 1991.  In contrast, the share of new…

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  • Macroeconomics

Housing Share of GDP Inched up In the Fourth Quarter of 2023

Jesse WadeJanuary 25, 2024

Housing’s share of the economy rose to 16.0% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2023. Overall GDP increased at a 3.3% annual rate, following a 4.9% increase in the third quarter of 2023, and a 2.1% increase in the second quarter of 2023….

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  • Macroeconomics

U.S. Economy Ends 2023 With Surprisingly Strong Growth

Jing FuJanuary 25, 2024May 7, 2024

The U.S. economy grew at a surprisingly strong pace in the fourth quarter, mainly fueled by resilient consumer spending. However, the fourth quarter data from the GDP report suggests that inflation is cooling. The GDP price index rose 1.5% for the fourth quarter, down from…

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  • Home Sales and Prices

New Home Sales Bounce Back in December on Lower Mortgage Rates

Danushka Nanayakkara-SkillingtonJanuary 25, 2024May 7, 2024

Falling interest rates in the closing weeks of 2023 helped to bring buyers off the sidelines and provide a boost for new home sales. Sales of newly built, single-family homes in December increased 8.0% to a 664,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate from an upwardly revised…

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